Causal Inference: CAUSEME web-platform

CAUSEME web-platform is a platform to benchmark causal discovery methods based on ground truth benchmark datasets featuring different real data challenges.

Causal Inference: Tigramite

We contributed to the continuous development of the tigramite (https://github.com/jakobrunge/tigramite/) Python package for causal inference methods.
This package provides a wide range of constraint-based causal discovery and causal effect estimation methods.

Stochastic Weather Generation

Stochastic Weather Generation is a computationally light tool to simulate temperatures for worse case heat extremes, at city up to country level.

Importance Sampling

Importance sampling is a way to preferentially select out of a range of model simulations the ones that will lead to extremes of the metric of interest in an early stage of simulation, thus increasing computing efficiency for the cases of interest.

Storyline; 50°C in Paris

Storyline is a methodology to determine when in the future extreme heat events above a chosen threshold become likely in cities, and to present the meteorological conditions that lead up to it.

Ensemble Boosting

Ensemble boosting uses climate models to efficiently generate very intense and rare weather and climate extremes that can be analyzed for planning and stress testing of critical infrastructure.

XAIDA Webinar #16

The 16th session of our webinar will occur on March 18th, 2025 at 2PM (14:00) CET. Oana-Iuliana Popescu (TU Dresden, TU Berlin) will talk about ‘Causal discovery with endogenous context variables’
Check out the details to attend, discuss and follow the discussion!

Scenario of an extreme heat: Paris 50°C to Summer Olympics heatwave

The 2024 Summer Olympic Games took place during the hottest part of the year in the Paris area, and raised the question how hot heatwaves over Paris could be in the near future. In recent years, the mid-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere have experienced several intense heatwaves since the major one in 2003. These heatwaves have caused unexpected environmental and health problems. In addition, the questions arose whether, when and in what condition temperatures could exceed 50°C in Paris at the 2100 horizon, and thus what the city of Paris needed to be prepared for.

Scenario for an extreme Winter like 1962-1963

The winter of 1962/1963 was the coldest winter on record in many central European countries, based on the average temperatures for December, January, and February. The extreme cold affected large parts of mainland Europe, stretching from the eastern and northern Baltic Sea regions to western Europe. This harsh winter had significant and well-documented effects on both people and ecosystems. Can such a winter still happen?

European Drought and Heatwave in 2022

In the summer of 2022, western and central Europe faced significant soil moisture shortages due to a combination of low rainfall and high temperatures. This drought was one of the worst the region had seen since at least the mid-1900s, leading to the question whether and to what extent this is caused by our changing climate.