XAIDA community is working and developping several methods and tools for detection and attribution of extreme events.
Operational Attribution Service: ClimaMeter
In the aftermath of an extreme weather event, the event is studied more and more often by an operational attribution service. Two examples of such operational attribution services are used within XAIDA. These operational services generally answer slightly different questions and are complementary.
ClimaMeter is an international consortium designed to attribute extreme weather events to climate change, providing scientifically robust and actionable insights to inform public discourse and policy.
Operational Attribution Service: World Weather Attribution
In the aftermath of an extreme weather event, the event is studied more and more often by an operational attribution service. Two examples of such operational attribution services are used within XAIDA. These operational services generally answer slightly different questions and are complementary.
World Weather Attribution (WWA), an initiative founded in 2014, aims to answer the question whether and to what extent climate change altered the likelihood and intensity of an extreme weather event, focusing on events with large impacts and aiming for global coverage.
GreenEarthNet
GreenEarthNet is a machine learning-powered toolkit for predicting ecosystem responses to climate changes by leveraging Earth observation data and climate models. It supports effective environmental monitoring and forecasting for improved climate action.
AIDE Toolbox
The Artificial Intelligence for Disentangling Extremes (AIDE) toolbox allows for tackling generic problems of detection and impact assessment of events such as tropical cyclones and severe convective storms, heat waves, and droughts, as well as persistent winter extremes, among others
Weather Regimes
This tool explores potential energy risk scenarios using weather regimes. This allows users to tailor the tool to their relevant impact and weather regimes.
Causal Inference: CAUSEME web-platform
CAUSEME web-platform is a platform to benchmark causal discovery methods based on ground truth benchmark datasets featuring different real data challenges.
Causal Inference: Method for Attribution
We contributed to the continuous development of the tigramite (https://github.com/jakobrunge/tigramite/) Python package for causal inference methods.
This package provides a wide range of constraint-based causal discovery and causal effect estimation methods.
Stochastic Weather Generation
Stochastic Weather Generation is a computationally light tool to simulate temperatures for worse case heat extremes, at city up to country level.
Importance Sampling
Importance sampling is a way to preferentially select out of a range of model simulations the ones that will lead to extremes of the metric of interest in an early stage of simulation, thus increasing computing efficiency for the cases of interest.
Storyline; 50°C in Paris
Storyline is a methodology to determine when in the future extreme heat events above a chosen threshold become likely in cities, and to present the meteorological conditions that lead up to it.
Reports linked to methods and tools
D2.2 – Report detailing and collating databases of impacts, vulnerability and exposure relevant to extreme weather events (PDF)
D3.2 – Open source code for detection and characterization of spatio-temporal extreme events (PDF)
D3.4 – Open source toolbox for climate-induced impact assessment based on advanced regression (PDF)